1 October 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Militarism fronts economic faults

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for rest of 2015 and 2016-18. Ukraine's domestic politics. The most recent developments in the parliament show that the incum ...

ICUQtlyReport-20151001.pdf  (1.3mb)

17 June 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

17 June 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Since the storm last February

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for 2H 2015 and 2016-17. The February financial storm as key theme of the macro outlook. Last February, the economy fell vict ...

ICUQtlyReport-20150617.pdf  (1.6mb)

30 April 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

USD super rally fades, its meaning for UAH

Yesterday's global financial markets' reaction to US statistics results once again underscored the trend that has evolved since late March and early April. As the US economy slowed in 1Q, the US Fed i ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150430.pdf  (380kb)

10 April 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

The meaning of the ruble's appreciation

The Russian ruble has rallied impressively recently. In April, it rose 12.0%, up more than one-third from this year's low seen at the end of January when the Ukraine-Russia military standoff in Donbas ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150410.pdf  (494.2kb)

20 March 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

What economic activity indicators reveal

In February’s monthly statistics on Ukraine's key economic sectors published this week, all sectors, including agriculture, declined year-on-year on the basis of raw data. However, upon closer analysi ...

ICUMacroInsight-20150320.pdf  (322.1kb)

12 March 2015 Macroeconomics

Quarterly Report

Trapped in “The Depression Union"

This is an updated and condensed summary of our macro view for the next three-year period of 2015-17. Economics vs. geopolitics: “The Ukrainian crisis” should really be named “The Russian ...

ICUQuarterlyReport-20150312.pdf  (3.2mb)

27 February 2015 Macroeconomics

Economic Insight

Ukrainian FX in freefall versus peers

Corrected: front page chartUpon close analysis of available data from the BIS and

ICUMacroInsight-20150227.pdf  (446.2kb)